having dominant reflective events. In the latter case, 
abstracting the CFO by the AWGN model provided 
the CFO phase error prediction. 
Table  3:  OTDR  trace  based  estimate  vs.  measured  BER 
floor; 50 and 80 km fiber link, 1 Gbit/s. 
Link length  50 km  80 km 
BER_OTDR
SNR>> 
4.13·10
-12
  6.31·10
-12
 
BER_OTDR
CFO
  4.24·10
-12
  6.41·10
-12
 
BER_BERT  4.49·10
-12
  6.89·10
-12
 
2
maxk
ΦΔ
 [rad] 
4.7·10
-8
 
6.1·10
-8
 
This validates the proposed model. 
4  CONCLUSIONS 
A simple prediction of fiber optic link residual BER 
coming out directly from the OTDR trace, is proposed 
to extend the standard OTDR functionalities beyond 
bare identifying and characterizing various bit-error 
generating events, and  so  enable troubleshooting of 
fiber optic links, but also predict the residual BER, as 
the ultimate end-to-end transmission performance. 
This came out of the idea to consider the reflective 
events  in  the  OTDR  trace  as  determining  the  time 
dispersion  standard  describing  parameter  –  mean 
delay  spread,  so modelling  the  residual  BER  of  the 
fiber link.  
      The  obtained  preliminary  test  results  that  we 
conducted  on  a  dark  fiber (to avoid the network 
operator  dissatisfaction  with  out-of-service  testing), 
validated  the  analytical  model,  showing  good 
matching between the OTDR-predicted and actually 
measured residual BER, for short transmitted pulses 
and  large  enough  OTDR  receiver  (photodetector) 
bandwidth,  at  least  40  %  wider  than  the  reciprocal 
pulse width. 
Furthermore, when no dominant reflective events 
are  identified  on  the  OTDR  trace,  it  implies  very 
small  time  dispersion  allowing  the  OFDM  symbol 
cyclic  prefix  to  always  prevent  inter-symbol 
interference,  retaining  the  CFO  to  solely  determine 
the residual BER floor. Thus, we abstracted CFO with 
the  AWGN  to  enable  efficient  and  quite  accurate 
short-term BER (and so CFO phase error) predictions. 
REFERENCES 
Lipovac,  A.  Practical  Enhancement  of  Fiber  Installation 
and  Maintenance  Test  Tools  -  Example  of  Extending 
OTDR  Distance  Range  by  Optical  Preamplifier, 
Proceedings  of  the  European  Lasers,  Photonics  and 
Optics Technologies Summit, Paris, France, September 
2020. 
Winzer, P. J.; Neilson, D. T.; Chraplyvy, A. R. Fiber-optic 
transmission and networking: the  previous 20 and the 
next  20  years.  Optics Express  2018,  26,  pp.  24190-
24239.  
Hui, R. Passive optical components. Introduction to Fiber-
Optic Communications, 1st ed.; Academic Press: USA, 
2020; pp. 209-297. 
Hui,  R.;  O'Sullivan,  M.  Characterization  of  Optical 
Devices. Fiber Optic Measurement Techniques, 1st ed.; 
Academic Press: USA, 2009; pp. 259-363. 
Lu,  X.;  Soto,  M.  A.;  Thévenaz,  L.  Temperature-strain 
discrimination in distributed optical fiber sensing using 
phase-sensitive  optical  time-domain  reflectometry. 
Optics Express 2017, 25, pp. 16059-16071.  
Alekseev, A. E.; et al. Fading reduction in a phase optical 
time-domain  reflectometer  with  multimode  sensitive 
fiber. Laser Physics 2016, 26, pp. 95-101. 
Hartog,  A.  H.  Frequency-scanned  optical  time  domain 
reflectometry. US Patent 7859654B2, 2008. 
Lu,  X.;  Soto,  M.  A.;  Thévenaz,  L.  Optimal  detection 
bandwidth  for  phase-sensitive  optical  time-domain 
reflectometry,  Proceedings  of  the  Sixth  European 
Workshop  on  Optical  Fibre  Sensors  EWOFS'2016, 
Limerick, Ireland, 2016, pp. 374-377.  
Lipovac, A.; Lipovac, V.; Modlic, B. PHY, MAC, and RLC 
Layer  Based  Estimation  of  Optimal  Cyclic  Prefix 
Length.  Sensors  2021,  21,  4796. 
https://doi.org/10.3390/s21144796 
Lipovac, A., V. Lipovac and B. Modlic, Modeling OFDM 
Irreducible BER with Impact of CP Length and CFO in 
Multipath  Channel  with  Small  Delay  Dispersion, 
Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing, vol. 
16(9), pp. 1065-1077, 2016. 
Charlamov, J., R.  Navickas, A.  Baskys, V. Barzdenas, L. 
Nickelson, Optical Receiver for Optical Time Domain 
Reflectometer,  Computer  Engineering  Department, 
Vilnius Gediminas Technical  University, Naugarduko 
St. 41, LT–03227 Vilnius, Lithuania, 2013.