Option Pricing and Risk Hedging for High-Tech Company:
The Case for Apple
Minhsueh Chiang
1,†
, Jiaheng Xu
1,†
, Yuisam Law
2,*,†
and Renjie Yang
3,†
1
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, United states
2
Jinan University, Guangdong, China
3
Zhuhai College of Jilin University, Guangdong, China
Keywords: Option Pricing, Apple, Black-Scholes.
Abstract: In this study, we examine the profitability of various hedging techniques for Apple stock options, which is
brand new to the field. The entire study is accomplished in two steps. In the first step, implied volatility is
determined and calculated by analyzing data on 10 different options on Apple stock, and the next step is to
construct a hedging portfolio based on the results of the first step, consisting of one unit of the specified option
and the underlying stock's delta shares. In summary, it has been determined that the hedging approach
investigated in this study has the potential to successfully cut risk. This study helps individual and institutional
investors to effectively construct a portfolio of Apple's stocks and select the most appropriate hedging
strategy. Use this as a reference. It should be noted that the Black-Scholes model used in this study has a zero-
interest rate assumption. In addition, the Black-Scholes model ignores the transaction costs that exist in real
markets; therefore, the results of this model may not be fully accurate, but additional research in the near
future would be beneficial.
1 INTRODUCTION
In today's economy, there simply aren't any ways to
profit from price differences. In a world without risks,
there is a certain likelihood that the stock price would
increase, and this is known as the risk-neutral
probability. We do not, however, presume that all
market participants are risk averse or that high-risk
investments would provide returns equivalent to those
on safer investments. This theoretical value is a
measurement of the probabilities associated with
purchasing and selling the assets assuming all
probabilities were equal (Victoria, 2021). This is the
premise of the study for hedging.
In finance, hedging refers to the action of
protectingb your position, and or profit from the
potential risks (Cvitanic, 2004). No matter which
positions you take in the financial market, there will
always exist different kinds of risk referring to your
decision. It could be liquidity risk, interest rate risk,
and or default risk, depending on which financial asset
*
These authors contributed equally
Corresponding author
you chose to protect your current position. Thus,
financial derivatives were invented, and were utilized
to mitigate some of the risk that you might encounter.
Following on, within all these different kinds of
financial derivatives, options were most widely and
commonly used in hedging strategies. Option-hedging
strategies were one of the most well-known and
thoroughly studied strategy in the financial industry as
well.
To demonstrate, option hedging strategy first starts
when option contracts appear, in which option pricing
theory such as the Black-Scholes theory were also
investigated. Following on, different scholars started
to investigate in different option hedging strategies
that could outperform the market. For instance, Sami
Vähämaa studied the strategy which was called “Delta
Hedging with Smile”, which utilized the volatility
smile as one of the hedging components, and,
moreover, demonstrated a better performance on
hedging instead of delta hedging (Vähämaa, 2004).
Subsequently, there were also statisticians and
scholars such as Roland Langrock, Thomas Kneib,
Chiang, M., Xu, J., Law, Y. and Yang, R.
Option Pricing and Risk Hedging for High-Tech Company: The Case for Apple.
DOI: 10.5220/0012033600003620
In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering (ICEMME 2022), pages 395-400
ISBN: 978-989-758-636-1
Copyright
c
2023 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. Under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
395
Richard Glennie & Théo Michelot who investigated in
“Markov-switching models”, which this statistical
model were then widely utilized in producing
Markov-switching deltas in different hedging
strategies as well (Langrock, 2017). Besides, many
scholars decided to study delta hedging with respect to
different kinds of options as well. For instance,
Alexander and Iryna decided to look for potential delta
hedging strategies in exotic options, based on “Price
trajectories are d-dimensional continuous functions
whose path wise quadratic variations and covariation
are determined by a given local volatility matrix”
(Schied, 2016).
On the other hand, researchers have dedicated
inspections on some fields. For instance, Jaska
Cvitanic and Ioannis Karatzas applied the continuous-
time model in order to do hedging for an arbitrary
contingent claim, with proportional transaction costs
(JAKSA, 1996). Also, Avellaneda Marco and ParaS
Antonio developed strategies, for the hedge of
derivative securities, under the presence of transaction
costs (AVELLANEDA, 1994).
However, limited research scrutinized the
performance of hedging strategies in companies’
sector. This paper will orient on such matter, selecting
Apple Inc. as our analysis target. Its leading position
in technology sector enables it to be a representative
company as chosen. In this study, results are given by
the act of delta hedging strategy applying the Black-
Scholes Model on Apple Inc.
This paper is organized as follows: Section 2 Data
and Method; Section 3 Result and Discussion; and
Section 4 Conclusion.
2 DATA AND METHOD
2.1 Data
The data used is all from Yahoo Finance
(https://finance.yahoo.com/). We choose the assets of
apple. The reason why we choose these assets as
follows Apple's products are consistently ranked
among the most sought after throughout the globe, and
the firm is now venturing into new areas of the
technology sector to provide even more ground-
breaking instruments and services, which means
Apple has made preparations to maintain its
competitive advantage. We choose five different call
options and put options that all mature on 2022 July
1st with different strike prices, to calibrate an implied
volatility. After that, a hedging strategy was
constructed for another option on Apple stock from
June 1st, 2022, to June 14, 2022. In detail, the option
contracts collected to calibrate the implied volatility of
Apple Inc. stock are shown in the table below.
Table 1: The 10 options chosen.
Call options chosen for calibration
Apple Inc.
AAPL220701C
00125000
AAPL220701C
00126000
AAPL220701C
00127000
AAPL220701C
00128000
AAPL220701C
00129000
Put options chosen for calibration
Apple Inc.
AAPL220701P0
0125000
AAPL220701P0
0126000
AAPL220701P0
0127000
AAPL220701P0
0128000
AAPL220701P0
0129000
And the option contract selected for Apple inc. for
hedging is shown in the table below.
Table 2: The option chosen for hedging.
Option selected for hedging
Apple Inc. AAPL220708C00125000
ICEMME 2022 - The International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering
396
Figure 1. The stock price trend of Apple Inc.
As shown above, Apple Inc’s stock price had small
reduction from Jun. 1st, 2022, to Jun.28th,2022, from
$148.71 to $138.44. there was some minor volatility
as Apple's share price declined during the study
period.
2.2 Method
The Black-Scholes formula is used as a model for
valuing European or American call and put options on
a non-dividend paying stock. In option pricing theory,
the Black-Scholes equation is one of the most
effective models for pricing options (Mehrdoust,
2014). Black Scholes model take into account the risk
factor of the underlying stock, the strike price of the
option contract, the initial stock price and the time
value of money, which are all significant factors,
while pricing each option contract. Its
comprehensiveness and completeness also enhances
its accuracy while computing different option prices.
All options have limited downside and rely on price
volatility for upside, thus a rise in volatility raises the
value of both calls and puts (Yacine, 2003). However,
the Black Scholes model, similar to other option
pricing models, is not a perfect one as well. In fact,
there are some unrealistic assumptions that the Black
Scholes model makes in order for its convenience of
computation and conciseness. First, the Black Scholes
model assumes that volatility of the stock and the
market’s risk-free rate are all constant throughout the
whole maturity time, which is not true in the real case.
Second, the Black Scholes model also assumes that no
option could be exercised before the maturity time,
which makes it only effective while pricing European
option contracts. Third, the Black Scholes assumed
that the market is a frictionless one, which means there
would not exist any transactional costs while trading
these financial derivatives, which is also unrealistic,
too. Last but not least, although all these up-mentioned
assumptions might affect the accuracy of the Black
Scholes model, we could not deny that it is still one of
the most common and conservative way for pricing
European option contracts.
Options Spread is a trading strategy for options in
the financial market that entails taking opposite
directional positions in the price of a pair of options
belonging to the same asset class but with different
strike prices and expiry dates. A spread position
involves two options with distinct strike prices and
expiry dates (Abhilash, 2021). The hedging strategy is
completed with two steps in the research as below.
First, the implied volatility of the stock is calibrated
with the price of the stock and that of ten options as
selected, on the stock using Black Scholes model.
Second, applying the implied volatility calculated, a
hedging strategy is constituted for a chosen option on
the stock.
Following on, the implied volatility utilized in the
Black-Scholes model is an estimated value estimated
by calculating the market stock prices’ standard
deviation or other estimating and forecasting
techniques such as maximum likelihood estimation,
moment estimation, generalized linear model,
Bayesian point estimation. In our study, we decided to
estimate the volatility in two different ways: the
traditional market stock prices’ standard deviation and
minimizing the difference between real market option
price and Black-Scholes price calculated utilizing the
Black-Scholes formula. The whole pricing process
stars as the following. First, we choose the 2022 June
1st AAPL open price as our initial stock price S (0).
Second, we choose five different call options and put
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
6,01 6,06 6,09 6,14 6,17 6,23 6,28
Appe Inc.
Option Pricing and Risk Hedging for High-Tech Company: The Case for Apple
397
options that all mature on 2022 July 1st with different
strike prices. After we finish computing our Black-
Scholes price for every option, we start calibrating our
standard deviation. As mentioned, we first calibrated
our sigma by calculating the standard deviation
between the market stock prices from May 1st to May
31st. The second way is to calculate the sum of
squared errors between the BSM options prices and
the real-market option prices calculated for every
option from June 1st, 2022, to July 1st, 2022.
Subsequently, the sum of squared errors for the 10
options for the AAPL stock are minimized to calibrate
the most accurate implied volatility. Third, we plug in
these numbers into the Black-Scholes formula listed
below with t representing the time to maturity, the
time difference between July 1st and June 1st, S(t)
representing the initial stock price, K representing the
strike prices, 125 to 129, and representing the risk-free
interest rate, which is assumed to be 0 for
computational conveniency. In the Black-Scholes
formula, we have to first compute 𝑑
and 𝑑
as the
following equation.
𝑑
=
1
σ√(𝑡)
ln
𝑆
(
𝑡
)
𝐾
+𝑟+
σ
2
𝑡
(1)
𝑑
=
1
σ√(t)
ln
𝑆
(
𝑡
)
𝐾
+𝑟−
σ
2
𝑡=𝑑
−σ
t
(2)
Following on, we have to plug d_1 and d_2 into
the normal distribution operator in order to calculate
its associating probability. Lastly, we can implement
the European Call option pricing formula under
Black-Scholes in the following.
𝐶𝑡,𝑆
(
𝑡
)
=𝑆
(
𝑡
)
𝑁
(
𝑑
)
−𝐾𝑒

𝑁
(
𝑑
)
(3)
Similarly, for the price of the put option, we can
calculate it by either the Black-Scholes formula listed
below, or simply by implementing the Put-Call Parity
formula.
𝑃𝑡,𝑆
(
𝑡
)
=𝐾𝑒

𝑁
(
−𝑑
)
−𝑆
(
𝑡
)
𝑁(−𝑑
)
(4)
After we finished computing our Black-Scholes
price for every option, we start calibrating our
standard deviation. As mentioned, we first calibrated
our sigma by calculating the standard deviation
between the market stock prices from May 1st to May
31st. The second way is to calculate the sum of
squared errors between the BSM options prices and
the real-market option prices calculated for every
option from June 1st, 2022, to July 1st, 2022.
Subsequently, the sum of squared errors for the 10
options for the AAPL stock are minimized to calibrate
the most accurate implied volatility.
Table 3: Comparison for Statistical Indicators.
Sigma Call option Put option
SSE 61.3 59.59 1.71
Historical
Va lu e
7.9% 55.53 1.12
Following the implied volatility calibration, a
hedging strategy is created for a particular option on
the stock’s equity. First, the strike price and maturity
date for the selected option contract, as well as the
stock price information from 1st to 14th June 2022, are
collected. The prices of the selected option contract
are then determined by applying the Black Scholes
model and the calibrated implied volatility determined
by the aforementioned formula.
Day 1:
𝑃𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒(𝑡)=𝐶(1, 𝑆(1))
(5)
Day 2-14:
𝑃𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
(
𝑡
)
=𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
(
𝑡−1
)
+𝑁(𝑑
)(𝑆
(
𝑡
)
−𝑆
(
𝑡−1
)
)
(6)
Second, the hedging portfolio consists of N(d1)
units of shares and one unit of a call option contract,
where N(d1) represents the delta for the BSM model.
The value of N(d1) on each day can be computed. The
methodology can be used to calculate the portfolio
value, loss or profit without hedging, and loss or profit
with hedging for each day between June 1 and June
14, 2022.
𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑔(𝑡)
=𝑆
(
𝑡
)
−𝐾−𝐶(1,𝑆
(
1
)
)
(7)
𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎℎ𝑒𝑑𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑔(𝑡)
=𝑆
(
𝑡
)
−𝐾
− 𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒(𝑡)
(8)
The effectiveness of the hedging strategy could be
evaluated in comparison across businesses and
industries as the loss or profit of the portfolio with or
without hedging is assessed.
3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
3.1 Results
In our study, after processing the comparisons of
profits or losses of the portfolio values with and
without hedging, from June 1st to June 14th, 2022, the
result shows obviously that the decision for holding
Apple Inc.’s option with hedging is more preferable,
despite both strategies obtained negative outcomes
instead.
ICEMME 2022 - The International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering
398
Figure 2: The comparison of the profit/loss holding one unit of the option on Apple Inc.’s stock with or without hedging.
The graph illustrates that the hedging strategy
completed better on the option on Apple Inc.’s stock.
With hedging, the loss is stable in the period; without
hedging, the loss declines rapidly within 10 working
days although there is a fluctuation in the middle. If
adding the profits and losses up for these 10 days, the
loss with hedging is $11.90, while that of without
hedging is $66.48. The differed amounts indicate the
hedging strategy has notably diminished the risk.
3.2 Discussion
The delta hedging strategy above-mentioned performs
pretty well on the Call option contract for the Apple
company and stock. We can tell that it has an
outstanding effect on helping us reduce and mitigate
our loss while investing in the Apple company’s stock
and option. In other words, the strategy implemented
in the study helped hedge the delta risk which is the
risk associated with the price movement of the
underlying stock of the option. Theoretically, delta
could also be defined as the derivative of the option
price with respect to the market price of the underlying
stock. In short, as we hold one unit of the option
contract, and delta shares of the underlying stock, the
portfolio reaches delta neutral, and thus, helps us
hedge the potential risk induced by the price
movement.
The Apple Inc Corporation is one of the most
essential companies not only in the technology sector,
but also in the US NASDAQ index. Moreover, the
Apple company is also one of the most actively traded
options, which also indicates that it would have more
complete and continuous data while implementing our
hedging strategy. Statistically speaking, more
continuous and complete data helps empower our
estimation and calculation of the volatility of the stock
and Black-Scholes option price. Moreover, in a
financial perspective, a more actively traded option
also enables the liquidity of our transaction and also
indicates that there would not be many options that are
far out of the money.
The Apple Inc’s has an average option trading
volume of four hundred thousand per day, which is
very liquid and commonly traded. Many other
technology companies such as Microsoft, Meta,
TESLA, and or Netflix also possess high trading
volume. In contrast, companies from the industrial,
financial and retail sectors do not trade in such large
volume, which also make these option contracts
difficult to liquidate. Therefore, for our Black-Scholes
model to be stable and complete initially, an option
which is commonly traded is an important factor.
Subsequently, a commonly traded option could also
enhance the accuracy of our volatility calibration and
Black Scholes option pricing. In sum, the Apple
company is a distinguished example which fit our
study needs and also perform well in our hedging
strategy.
4 CONCLUSION
This paper examines the performance of hedging
strategies for options on Apple stock. Although
researchers have studied hedging strategies using
options and sector-specific hedging strategies, the
topic discussed in this paper has not been studied
before. Therefore, in this paper, the delta hedging
strategy is used for options on Apple Inc. and its
hedging performance is analyzed. First, the implied
volatility is calibrated by using data from ten options
on this Apple stock. Then, based on the calculated
implied volatilities, a hedging portfolio was composed
containing one unit of a specific option and the
underlying stock's Delta shares. Finally, it is
calculated that the hedging strategy in this study
effectively reduces the risk. This study provides an in-
-20,00
-16,00
-12,00
-8,00
-4,00
0,00
4,00
6/2 6/4 6/6 6/8 6/10 6/12 6/14
Profit (Loss) ($)
Apple Inc.
with hedging without hedging
Option Pricing and Risk Hedging for High-Tech Company: The Case for Apple
399
depth analysis of the performance of Apple's stock
options using a hedging strategy, which helps
individual and institutional investors to effectively
build an Apple portfolio and choose the most suitable
hedging strategy, as well as being a reference for the
study of hedging strategies on other stocks.
It should be noted that the interest rate used in the
Black-Scholes model in this study is assumed to be
zero, and the Black-Scholes model also ignores the
transaction costs that exist in the real market, so the
results of the model may not be fully accurate and
deserve more research in the future.
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